We Are Not Growing Primary Care, We Are Shrinking It
The Reality of Primary Care is quite different than what is presented by various associations, institutions, and foundations. We are not growing primary care. We are shrinking it. AAFP has had its usual promotions of successes in the match as there are incremental increases in the number choosing family medicine. There is nothing to cheer about. FM graduates have had an annual growth rate barely keeping up with the annual population growth rate since 1980 when 3000 graduates were first reached. Given that only half of the 2018 graduates will serve careers in primary care, the actual primary care contributions have decreased much faster. Assumption is not reality. My Standard Primary Care YearPublication never caught on, but is relevant to consider https://www.rrh.org.au/journal/article/1009 To save time you may want to review this compilation of the primary care delivery capacity estimates over time for 1970 to 2030 graduates. Each source is melting away...