Why are 2008 HRSA Projections of Primary Care Workforce indicating substantial increases when the reality is decreases in primary care?
Primary care workforce is substantially less than annual graduate numbers depict due to departures from primary care during primary care training, at graduation, and each year after graduation. The Health Resources and Services Administration projection of 2020 physician primary care was last posted in 2010. This document indicates increases in primary care that are impossible for internal medicine and family practice. To properly guide the nation, HRSA must not wait for new data or studies. It should remove the erroneous projections. This major document represents much good work tainted by the primary care projections. Family Medicine Internal Medicine Pediatrics Annual Graduates since 1980 3000 and steady for zero growth for 30 yrs About 1% annual growth to 7200 About 2% annual growth to 3200 % Primary Care Entry 85% - surveys, office based retention, COGME 91% 20 - 25% for senior resident surveys and COGME 44% for senior resident surveys and CO...