Why Salaries Are Downstream and Powerful vs Powerless is Upstream
There are certain people who pay attention to salaries and
benefits as shaping physician specialty choice. There is a correlation, but correlation is not causation. I look at these are great distractions. What's behind the
salaries and benefits is more important. And what drives this from upstream is
even more important.
The real force, the major influence, is the financial design
- revenue, cost of delivery, complexity. Behind this is powerful vs powerless.
There are more than salary and benefit factors at work in career choice. And beyond the areas obvious to medical students and residents, are the upstream forces. This should be quite obvious in health care where the largest and most organized have the greatest influence regarding the payment design. They design themselves the most lines of revenue, including lines of revenue such as graduate medical education, research, patents, corporate ventures, and foundation support that others do not receive. They can use their size and power to pay less to payers and demand and get regular increases in payments.
They are also powerful enough to prevent any real reforms - such as higher payments for cognitive vs procedural charges. A select group of advisers is shaped by institutions, associations, corporations, and foundations on their way to greatest design influences.
Procedural, technical, most specialized, most specialty
hospital services are paid at the highest levels. This is what allows highest
paid salaries and benefits and most team members. These are practices that also
have least overhead or share overhead. They also have lowest complexity due to
more team members to share the load and less complex interactions with people -
or even few at all.
Basic, office, cognitive, primary care, women's health,
mental health, and basic surgical services are paid least. They can afford the
fewest and least skilled team members (few RNs remain in primary care, high
turnover, losses to practices best paid). They have the most complex
interactions made worse by innovations.
Revenue - The smallest and basic and least organized
practices get treated worse by insurance payers. They practice where the
patients with the worst public and private plans are concentrated. They are
paid 15% less for the same office codes. They also have 10% lower collection
rates. These revenue deficits are only part of the problem.
The theme is
powerful, largest, most organized vs the rest.
Costs of delivery - are also a major part of the problem.
The costs of overhead are highest for areas such as primary care and women's
health.
These costs have increased the most - particularly for HITECH, MACRA,
and PCMH - and with 30 - 100% greater costs per primary care physician for the
smaller practices or anyone not largest and most organized.
- HITECH hardware, software, maintenance, and security hits the smallest hardest. MACRA is less than $40,000 a year per primary care physician for the largest and much more for the smallest.
- PCMH costs are $40,000 per PC doc per year for the largest and those most organized can get grant funding (which runs out).
- The smallest have to pay over $80,000 per PC doc per year which is why only 30% can afford to participate (and PCMH does nothing for outcomes, as with other innovations and incentives).
The most organized demand and get discounts for supplies and
other payables. Those not largest have to pay more to suppliers
But not all is well with the most specialized and highest
paid. There is more to be gained for the largest systems by replacing them as
much as possible with NP and PA. NP and PA paid 15% less made less sense,
especially in practices already paid least. NP and PA also get better salaries
and benefits and can save systems money - by being subspecialized. This is why
NP and PA are adding more new specialties with more added to each specialty -
with primary care, women's health, mental health falling to lower and lower
proportions.
Surgical residents finishing initial training in general
surgery, ortho, urology, ENT, ob-gyn face the choice to go on to take one or
more fellowships. They chose to take a lower salary for a few more years for a very good reason.
- General surgical specialties are all fading by 2 to 3 percentage points on average each year from 2005 to 2013 for active general specialty workforce in each area in my studies comparing the Masterfile versions for the 2005 and 2013 versions.
- The oldest general specialists are concentrated in the counties lowest in concentrations - indicating the least replacement.
Note that this decision to take a lower salary for a few years works out well for teaching hospitals that can generate much revenue during their fellowship training.
The financial design is so much more influential with regard
to the major decisions made - especially by those focused on dollars.
Those not as focused on the dollars and focused on service -
are left behind by the designers at every major change - 1990s, 2010s, etc.
The Republic cost cutting and the Democratic regulatory
costs act together to defeat care where most Americans most need care. Even
worse, current Republicans are doing the cost cutting and are increasing the
regulation - just like 2010 Democrats did cost cutting and costly regulation. Those losing the most are unified by those
Powerless vs Powerful
- Small hospitals
- Small practices
- Workforce in 2621 counties lowest in MD DO NP PA
- Red Counties
- 60 Blue Counties rural and with minorities as the majority population
- Rural health (for 75% of the rural population)
- Urban health (for 32% of the urban population)
- Primary care, basic, cognitive, office
Half of Americans, especially those in Red Counties and the
60 Blue rural counties with lowest concentrations, continue to lose the most by
design (Medicare, Medicaid, public insurance, Veterans, high deductible,
denials, delays, poor treatment of patients by insurers, taking advantage of
those with mental health issues...)
Runaway health care costs represent a serious and worsening problem.
Runaway health care costs are hurting investments that could be made to improve health and other outcomes. The higher costs deplete federal, state, local, employer, and family budgets.
There are many ways that the powerful help shape designs that result in few who do well and most who do less well.
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